Last week’s matchups turned out to be some incredible games. Stanford and Washington State came down to wire. The Cougars pulled off yet another terrific victory. Penn State rallied late to take down the Hawkeyes at home, only to celebrate with the crowd afterward to hit song Mo Bamba. The Gators played against the Bulldogs and played well until things unraveled in the fourth the quarter. Their quarterback problems are still a lingering issue. This week has some huge matchups that could significantly affect the CFB Playoff landscape. LSU will travel to Bama, in hopes to take down the almighty Tide. Georgia will host one-loss Kentucky in a battle for first place in the SEC East. West Virginia will head to Austin, to face the Longhorns in a battle of two middle-ranked teams. Penn State will head to Ann Arbor in hopes of derailing Michigan’s hopes of making the playoffs. You don’t want to miss out this weekend, as it is set to be one of the better slate of games this season. Here are our picks for four HUGE college football games in week 10.
#6 Georgia at #9 Kentucky – 3:30pm ET
Line: Georgia -9
This matchup is set to determine the winner of the SEC East and a chance for a potential matchup against the almighty Crimson Tide. Both teams are currently sitting on one loss, and suffering another will end any conversation of a chance at a CFB Playoff berth. The Wildcats formula is simple, pound the ball with Benny Snell and grind out the game on the defensive side of the ball. The Kentucky Wildcats defense is the best in the SEC and the best in the SEC in the red zone. They wear their opponent down by forcing them to grit their way down the field, only to hold them out of the end zone. Georgia is the best team this Wildcats defense will see all season, but with their home crowd behind them, the Wildcats should be able to keep this game competitive until the very end. If Kentucky wants a shot at winning this thing, Benny Snell will have to do what Benny Snell usually does, and that’s run the ball effectively and efficiently. For Georgia the formula is simple. Everyone knows how to beat Kentucky, just so far only Texas A&M has been able to execute that game plan, and it took them overtime and home-field advantage to do so. To beat Kentucky you need to be efficient on offense, contain their star running back Snell, and force the Wildcats quarterback Terry Wilson to beat you through the air. The key for Georgia is their running game. The one game this season that Georgia failed to gain 100 yards on the ground was against LSU, and they lost. Kentucky gives up 109 yards per game on average on the ground. If Georgia can establish a running game, they’ll win. If not, they’ll lose. We’re going to roll with the Bulldogs to win this game outright, but we’re going with Kentucky to cover the spread.
Prediction: Georgia 20-17 Kentucky
#13 West Virginia at #17 Texas – 3:30 pm ET
Line: Texas -2
We’re not buying Texas here. Yeah, they’re the home team. Yeah, they have big, physical receivers. Yeah, they have Sam Ehlinger, who’s an absolute gunslinger. But, they also have a terrible secondary. Look what Taylor Cornelius and the Oklahoma State offense did to them this past weekend. Will Grier and this West Virginia offense is a different beast. If the Longhorns secondary struggled as badly as they did versus Oklahoma State, there is no way they can play any better against a legitimate Heisman contender, and one of the best quarterbacks in the country. If Texas wants any shot to win this game, their offense will have to keep pace with the Mountaineers, and they’ll have to gut out a shootout finish, which seems unlikely. So, the other formula is the one Iowa State used during their upset against the Mountaineers. RUN THE BALL. If Texas can dominate the ground game, and keep the WV offense on the sidelines, they’ll give themselves their best chance. The Mountaineers can’t run up the scoreboard without Grier and company on the field. Texas will play better at home after their gut-wrenching loss to the Cowboys last week, but not well enough to take down Grier and the gang. Roll with the Mountaineers.
Prediction: Texas 31-34 West Virginia
#14 Penn State at #5 Michigan – 3:45pm ET
Line: Michigan -10.5
The Nittany Lions have two losses on the year, one to Michigan State and one to Ohio State, by a combined 5 points! This football team is 5 points away from being undefeated! Last week they gutted out a tough victory against a solid Iowa Hawkeye ball club. Michigan has one loss on the year, and it came in week one against the undefeated, and #3 ranked Notre Dame Fighting Irish. This Penn State team is better than their record shows, and they’re capable of grinding out defensive oriented victories. The only problem is, Michigan is as well. The Wolverines own one the nation’s best defenses. Jim Harbaugh is a defensive genius, and it’s shown throughout his entire coaching tenure. Penn State quarterback Trace McSorley doesn’t have his usual weapons in the passing game, and running the ball against the Wolverines is a tall task. With the Big House home crowd, the largest stadium in football, advantage Blue. However, we aren’t sure that we buy the 10.5point spread. That’s a lot to give in a conference rival, in a primetime game. The Nittany Lions are a tough bunch, and Coach Franklin will have the boys ready to go toe-to-toe. However, the Wolverines will be prepared as well, and they have more to play for, with a playoff berth on the line. PSU will cover the spread, but the Wolverines will win the game.
Prediction: Penn State 17-21 Michigan
#1 Alabama at #3 LSU – 8:00pm ET
Line: Alabama -15
If there’s anyone that can derail Alabama’s undefeated run to the title, LSU has the best chance. How good of an opportunity that is, has yet to be seen. The Crimson Tide have completely demolished everyone in their path. They’ve been winning games so handily that their superstar, Heisman quarterback Tua Tagovailoa hasn’t even played a snapped in the fourth quarter yet this season. The LSU Tigers have one loss on the season, and they’re defense has proven to be the real deal. They had the nation’s toughest schedule to start the season, and they’ve conquered all but one. Joe Burrow has proven he can score enough points for his defense to win the game. This defense is loaded with future NFL talent, Greedy Williams, Devin White, and Grant Delpit. The Tigers rank last in yards per play on offense in the entire SEC. Burrow will have to have a sensational game to muster up more than LSU’s usual production against a terrific Alabama defense. If LSU’s defense cannot be the first in the country to slow down this Alabama offense, they’ll have no shot at covering the spread, let alone win the game. The Crimson Tide are just too good this year, on both sides of the ball. Roll with the Tide.
Prediction: Alabama 38-17 LSU